In a household with two siblings, the younger sibling often gets cast into the spotlight when the older one’s poor decision-making taints the family name. Such is the case within the Pick n Pay Group, where the spotlight has shifted to the younger sibling, Boxer, as Pick n Pay deals with the consequences of poor former management decisions.
As part of a drive to address the issues at Pick n Pay and to raise capital, the group will spin off Boxer to list separately on the JSE at the end of November. In anticipation of Boxer’s new era, we unpack what the company does, how it fits into the competitive food retailers’ landscape in South Africa and what makes it a quality business.
THE BOXER OFFERING
Boxer is a soft discounter food retailer, offering a limited range of products, including branded products at lower prices than traditional retailers. Catering to the mass lower-income market, it provides customers with a vibrant shopping experience, offering value products through Boxer Superstores, Liquor and Build.
It trades primarily through 296 Boxer Superstores, along with 150 Liquor stores adjacent to the Superstores. The stores are predominantly close to taxi ranks in non-urban areas. Boxer expects to grow its store footprint threefold over the medium term, pursuing shopping centres near urban areas.
The stores are curated with products that resonate with the regional target market, supported by semi-decentralised promotional activity focusing on local customers. This has enabled Boxer to grow its private label brands – currently around one in five products bought.
In our view, the 31-store Boxer Build business is a poor strategic fit for the group. We expect it will be disposed of over the medium term, as it has not scaled and has been starved of capital in the group’s expansion plans, with the focus remaining on the Superstores business. We’ve seen this movie before, such as with the disposal of Pepkor’s building company and Shoprite’s furniture unit, which were not given the same amount of attention and capital as the core businesses.
SA FOOD RETAILERS
The South African food retail market is highly competitive and continues to evolve in line with consumer preferences. The formal market, which includes listed retailers and a few independents, accounts for ~65% of the market.
As a soft discounter with a limited product range, Boxer caters for a market that is price-sensitive and constantly on the lookout for a bargain. Boxer has growth runway to expand its footprint and catch up with peers such as Shoprite and Usave.
The chart below shows the footprint of the South African stores of the listed retailers.
One of the key fundamentals of a successful retailer is being within reach of the customer or, in today’s terms, being able to deliver. South African customers still enjoy the bricks and mortar experience, which means that growing space remains important for retailers.
A QUALITY BUSINESS
A business can only go as far as its management can lead it. Boxer is led by CEO Marek Masojada, who has been in the role for five years and with the business for 30 years. We are encouraged by the stability of the Boxer executive management, which has an average tenure of 19 years. Both the CEO and CFO David Wayne come across as traditional retail operators. This is positive, in our view, for the success of turning stock as a retailer.
Boxer operates six decentralised distribution centres (DCs), which have been key enablers for stock availability at store level. There is nothing more disheartening for customers than to get to a store and their favourite product is out of stock. From a cost perspective, decentralised DCs work for a business like Boxer, given its current store footprint. In our view, for the growth that Boxer expects to reach in the medium term, a move towards centralised DCs will be vital for stock availability. This, however, poses a risk to operations, as we’ve seen with several retailers that have struggled to implement a centralised DC model seamlessly.
Boxer understands its targeted customers – this means having the right product mix available, at the right price and time of the month. Consequently, Boxer has achieved strong top-line growth relative to peers over the past three years. Food retail is a thin-margin industry, so Boxer should be commended for having delivered strong margins in line with peers while remaining cash-generative.
In conclusion, the JSE listing will unlock the value of Boxer and give investors an additional option to consider within the retail universe. There will always be risks, however – success will depend on Boxer’s management executing the growth strategy effectively. Ultimately, Boxer is a business we like, and we would consider adding the name to our clients’ portfolios.